Lunar Solar Dynamic Earthquake Forecast Europe and Africa

April 25, 2024 Lunar Date is : 25

PR > 1

From -15 W to +7 E - LOW
VH
H
8
MH
11,13
ML
3,4,7,10,18,20,26,30
L
2,5,6,9,12,14,15,16,17,19,21,22,23,24,25,27,28,29
Includes
UK, France, Belgium, W Germany, Norway, Spain, Morocco, Algeria, Portugal, Tunisia, Gambia
From +7 E to +20 E - LOW
VH
H
5,24,27
MH
2,8,11,13,14,18,22,26
ML
3,6,9,19,28,29
L
4,7,10,12,15,16,17,20,21,23,25,30
Includes
Central Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Croatia, Albania, Bosnia, Montenegro
From +20 E to +26 E - HIGH
VH
H
5,6,11,25,28
MH
4,8,14,16,19,21,23
ML
2,10,12,13,15,18,20,22,29
L
3,7,9,17,24,26,27,30
Includes
Serbia, W Romania, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Greece, Crete, C DR Congo
From +26 E to +34 E - HIGH
VH
H
11,20,24,25
MH
3,4,7,9,10,14,15,18,22,27
ML
13,17,19,21,29
L
2,5,6,8,12,16,23,26,28,30
Includes
Aegean, C/E Romania, Cyprus, W/C Turkey, W Sudan, E DR Congo, Uganda, W Tanzania, W Mozambique, Zambia, Rwanda, South Africa
+34 E to +45 E - MEDIUM HIGH
VH
H
4,7,10,24
MH
2,5,8,9,11,19,20,22,25
ML
6,15,18,21,29,30
L
3,12-14,16,17,23,26,27,28
Includes
Armenia, Georgia, E Cyprus, Lebanon, Syria, C/E Turkey, Egypt, KSA, Yemen, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Eritrea, E Sudan, E Mozambique, Malawi, E Tanzania

PR < 1

From -15 W to +7 E
VH
H
MH
ML
L
Includes
From +7 E to +20 E
VH
H
MH
ML
L
Includes
From +20 E to +26 E
VH
H
MH
ML
L
Includes
From +26 E to +34 E
VH
H
MH
ML
L
Includes
+34 E to +45 E
VH
H
MH
ML
L
Includes

Key : VH = Very High, H = High, MH = Medium-Hi, ML = Medium Low, L = Low

PR > 1

Please note that the above earthquake probabilities are derived from correlation with the day of the lunar month for which past events occurred in each region for Phase Ratio (PR)>1 - the lunar day numbering adopted assumes that lunar day 7 is the New Moon, day 14 is the First Quarter, day 21 is the Full Moon and day 28 is the Last Quarter. In some months the time between each phase may be more than 7 days in which case reference is made to the Observer Latitude calendar to decide which lunar number needs to be duplicated (this occurs when there is minimal change in Observer Latitude over 2 day period.- the relevant lunar day is given on the 48 hr dynamic earthquake forecasts (3rd column) This table is for PR>1 when the majority of earthquake events occur close to the Full Moon and New Moon which was the situation prior to September 15th 2013 in N/S America. (this usually lasts for about 6 months). There is another table for Phase Ratio < 1 when majority of events occur during the first and last quarters.

PR < 1

Please note that the above earthquake probabilities are derived from correlation with the day of the lunar month for which past events occurred in each region for Phase Ratio (PR)<1 - the lunar day numbering adopted assumes that lunar day 7 is the New Moon, day 14 is the First Quarter, day 21 is the Full Moon and day 28 is the Last Quarter. In some months the time between each phase may be more than 7 days in which case reference is made to the Observer Latitude calendar to decide which lunar number needs to be duplicated (this occurs when there is minimal change in Observer Latitude over 2 day period.- the relevant lunar day is given on the 48 hr dynamic earthquake forecasts (3rd column) This table is for PR<1 when the majority of earthquake events occur close to the First Quarter Moon or Last Quarter Moon which is the current situation in N/S America since 15th September 2013 (this usually lasts for about 6 months). There is another table for Phase Ratio > 1 when majority of events occur at or near the new moon or full moon.