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Disclaimer: – As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein.
Copyright of all items in this Earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.
Copyright of all items in this Earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.
Daily Summary Warning - April 23th 2024
The earthquake activity (M6+ eccentricity = imbalance) in Asia-Pacific is about average at 1.45 today compared with the typical month of April average of 1.45 (note the lunar Phase Ratio (PR) is now (since 6th Oct) at PR<1 so that large quakes are more likely in the periods close to first and 3rd quarter of the moon. The activity in the last 2 weeks in Asia-Pacific region has been low recently with M5+ almost every day and one or more M6+ events every 7 weeks.Results from Yesterday 12th...
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Daily Summary Warning - September 11th, 2023
The earthquake activity (M6+ eccentricity = imbalance) in Asia-Pacific is below average at 1.37 today (med-hi) compared with the typical month of September average of 1.39 (note the lunar Phase Ratio (PR) is now (since 23rd Feb) at PR>1 so that large quakes are more likely in the periods close to full moon and new moon. The activity in the last 2 weeks in Asia-Pacific region has been low recently with M5+ almost every day and one or more M6+ events every 7 weeks.Results from Yesterday 10th...
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Daily Summary Warning - June 30th, 2023
The earthquake activity (M6+ eccentricity = imbalance) in Asia-Pacific is less than average at 1.25 today (medium) compared with the typical high month of June average of 1.37 (note the lunar Phase Ratio (PR) is now (since 23rd Feb) at PR>1 so that large quakes are more likely in the periods close to full moon and new moon. The activity in the last 2 weeks in Asia-Pacific region is still moderately high with M5+ almost every day and one or more M6+ events every two to three weeks.Results...
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Daily Summary Warning - May 16th, 2023
The earthquake activity (M6+ eccentricity = imbalance) in Asia-Pacific is about average at 1.35 today (high) compared with the typical high month of May average of 1.35 (note the lunar Phase Ratio (PR) is now (since 23rd Feb) at PR>1 so that large quakes are more likely in the periods close to full moon and new moon. The activity in the last 2 weeks in Asia-Pacific region is still moderately high with M5+ almost every day and one or more M6+ events every two to three weeks.Results from...
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Earthquake Probabilities for North and South America – PR<1
Please note that the above earthquake probabilities are derived from correlation with the day of the lunar month for which past events occurred in each region for Phase Ratio (PR)<1 - the lunar day numbering adopted assumes that lunar day 7 is the New Moon, day 14 is the First Quarter, day 21 is the Full Moon and day 28 is the Last Quarter. In some months the time between each phase may be more than 7 days in which case reference is made to the Observer Latitude calendar to decide which...
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Earthquake Probabilities for North and South America - PR>1
Please note that the above earthquake probabilities are derived from correlation with the day of the lunar month for which past events occurred in each region for Phase Ratio (PR) >1 - the lunar day numbering adopted assumes that lunar day 7 is the New Moon, day 14 is the First Quarter, day 21 is the Full Moon and day 28 is the Last Quarter. In some months the time between each phase may be more than 7 days in which case reference is made to the Observer Latitude calendar to decide which...
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Earthquake Probabilities for Europe and Africa
Please note that the above lunar day earthquake probabilities are derived from correlation with the day of the lunar month for which past events occurred in each region - the lunar day numbering adopted assumes that lunar day 7 is the New Moon, day 14 is the First Quarter, day 21 is the Full Moon and day 28 is the Last Quarter. In some months the time between each phase may be more than 7 days in which case reference is made to the Observer Latitude calendar to decide which lunar number...
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